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Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Still In “Overbought” Region, Volatility To Follow?

December 13, 2022
in Bitcoin
Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Still In “Overbought” Region, Volatility To Follow?

Data exhibits the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross remains to be within the “overbought” area, an indication that there could also be extra volatility to return for the cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Continues To Be At A High Value

As identified by an analyst in a CryptoQuant publish, the BTC long-term holders have been transferring their cash lately. The “NVT ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the Bitcoin market cap and the transaction quantity on the chain (each in USD). What this metric tells us is whether or not the worth of the cryptocurrency (the market cap) is akin to the flexibility to transact cash or not (the amount).

When the worth of the metric is excessive, it means BTC is overvalued proper now as transaction volumes are low in comparison with the market cap. On the opposite hand, low values indicate the crypto could also be undervalued at present.

The “NVT Golden Cross” is an indicator that compares the long-term (30-day MA) and the short-term (10-day MA) traits of the NVT ratio to determine tops and bottoms within the metric. Now, here’s a chart that exhibits the pattern within the NVT Golden Cross over the past couple of years:

Looks like the worth of the metric appears to have been excessive in current days | Source: CryptoQuant

As you possibly can see within the above graph, the quant has marked the “overbought” and “oversold” areas within the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. Whenever this metric has a worth of greater than 2.2, it means the crypto may be overpriced proper now. The coin has often noticed a bearish impact when the indicator has been on this area, because the chart shows.

The “underpriced” situation happens within the zone the place the BTC NVT Golden Cross has values lower than -1.6. In the picture, there’s additionally the chart for the “provide adjusted dormancy,” an indicator that tells us whether or not long-term holders are promoting or not at present.

It looks like the LTHs have been presumably collaborating in a big diploma of promoting lately. This metric has an affect on the NVT Golden Cross, which has additionally risen in the previous couple of weeks. The indicator is now within the overbought area, which suggests Bitcoin might quickly be seeing some bearish volatility.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s worth floats round $17k, down 2% within the final week. Over the previous month, the digital asset has gained 1% in worth. The chart beneath exhibits the pattern within the worth of the coin over the past 5 days.

Bitcoin Price Chart

BTC appears to have plunged over the past day | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

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