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This On-Chain Metric Suggests Bitcoin Not In Danger Of Another Sharp Drawdown

October 21, 2022
in Bitcoin
This On-Chain Metric Suggests Bitcoin Not In Danger Of Another Sharp Drawdown

Historical knowledge of an on-chain indicator may counsel Bitcoin is probably not in peril of one other sharp crash proper now.

Bitcoin Spot Exchange Depositing Addresses Stay At Very Low Values

As identified by an analyst in a CryptoQuant publish, indicators are that one other crash much like Q3 2018 isn’t more likely to occur presently.

The related indicator right here is the “spot trade depositing addresses,” which is a measure of the overall variety of Bitcoin pockets addresses which can be making ship transactions to centralized spot exchanges proper now.

Generally, buyers deposit their cash on spot exchanges for promoting functions. Thus, a spike on this metric could be bearish for the worth of the crypto because it may very well be a touch at dumping habits from a lot of addresses.

On the opposite hand, low values suggest not many holders are including to the promoting strain available in the market for the time being.

Now, here’s a chart that exhibits the development within the Bitcoin spot trade depositing addresses over the previous couple of years:

Looks like the worth of the metric has been taking place in current months | Source: CryptoQuant

As you possibly can see within the above graph, the quant has marked the related zones of development for the Bitcoin spot trade depositing addresses.

It looks as if often round durations the place this indicator has sharply risen as much as native tops, the worth of BTC has additionally noticed a prime and subsequently declined.

Since the bull run prime final yr, the spot trade depositing addresses have been general winding down, seeing solely a few peaks within the interval.

Some buyers have lately been questioning whether or not one other sharp drawdown is coming for Bitcoin within the close to future, identical to the one the 2018 bear market noticed after months of sideways motion much like now.

Looking on the chart for the development in the course of the 2017/2018 cycle, it’s obvious that the metric declined following the bull run prime after which plateaued at low ranges because the bear market went on.

However, in Q3 2018, the indicator immediately jumped up. A few months or so after this occurred, the worth noticed a crash.

As throughout current weeks there was no such sharp improve within the indicator, the analyst believes there isn’t any indication {that a} decline much like then would happen now.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s value floats round $18.8k, down 4% within the final week.

Bitcoin Price Chart

The worth of the crypto appears to have dipped beneath the $19k stage once more | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView
Featured picture from André François McKenzie on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

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